Saturday 30 March 2019

Review of the day

I kept the tips to a minimum today, which I think was probably the right thing to do.

Unfortunately non of the 3 tips that I did issue, managed to win - but there was at least a bit of interest.

That was certainly the case for the first tip, Capard King.
I thought he represented a bit of value at this mornings 10/1 - but never did I imagine that he would get backed in to 7/2 favouritism !

As I said this morning, it was a competitive race - so there must have been some serious confidence behind him, to cause such a price move.

It was therefore a little disappointing that he unseated his rider, not long after half way.
It was too far out to have a view on whether he would have won - but he certainly wasn’t beaten.

Next time might tell us more - not that it will be much consolation !

The days other 2 tips both ran in the mares final at Newbury - and both ran with credit.

Off the Hook ran particularly well - and between the second and third last, it briefly looked as though she might win.
However, her run then began to falter - whilst Annie Mc found over-drive - and the race was quickly over…

As for the days Mentions…

In the opener at Newbury, my fears concerning Strong Pursuit appeared to be well-founded. He led early but was quickly beaten, once passed.
It did very much look as if he ‘bounced’ on the back of his big effort last time.

In the following race, Elysees ran a fair race to finish fourth, with Friend or Foe, appearing not to stay the trip.

Saint Leo also ran a fair race at Kelso - but conditions had gone against him.
He remains one to keep on side - given soft ground and a return to fences.

Finally, if one did get away today, it was in the long distance handicap hurdle.

I liked Captain Drake best - but felt he represented no value at 9/2.
I viewed Burrows Park as the main danger - and if I’d realised how quick the ground was going to be riding, I may well have taken a risk on him (because of Captain Drakes preference for soft ground).
Ultimately, Burrows Park ran out a very easy winner - with Captain Drake staying on late to claim second.
All a little irritating - but these things happens…

TVB.


No comments:

Post a Comment